A small loss on Sunday, BOTD landed but the O2.5 Goals treble was a goal short in Feyenoord and the win double lost when Milan, somehow, lost to Empoli. Anyways, Monday’s only tip:
Newcastle and Roma both to win @ 1.88 (BOTD) 3pts/£3
Newcastle need to win today to gain promotion back to the PL. They have a good home record in the league, winning 13 of their matches and only losing 3, scoring 44 and conceded 22. They have also won 3 of their last 5 matches. They have only failed to score in 12% of their home games this season, one of the lowest in the league. They also have collected 2.25 points per home game this season, when the league average is 1.59, this shows a really strong, impressive Newcastle home side, which, lets be honest, should be strong considering the amount of money they spent!
They are playing a Preston side who have nothing to play for and are one of the worst away sides for form in the league, they are without a win in 5 away games and have lost 3, they conceded 12 in these 5 games. Preston have also only won 5 of their 13 away matches, and with the stakes so high for Newcastle, they need a win here. SP is Newcastle 3-0.
Roma who are 2nd in the league and are on really good form, unbeaten in their last 5, winning 4. They have scored 11 in those 5 matches and conceded just 2, they won 3/4 game to nil. As they are away I will talk about their away stats. Roma have the 3rd best away record in the league, winning 9/16 and only losing 5. They have scored 27 and conceded 15, the second lowest in the league. They have won their last 4 away matches, scoring 11 goals and only conceding 1. Roma have also scored in 81% of their away matches and in all of their last 7.
Their opponents Pescara sit rock bottom of Serie A. Playing 32, winning just 2, drawing 8 and losing 22. They have only scored 32 this season and conceded a massive 70. At home, they have won just one game this season, drew 1 and lost 10, conceding 33 goals. Pescara have conceded at least once in 88% of their home matches and failed to score 38% at home. They should be no match for an inform Roma, but, I do think they will get a goal. SP is Roma 4-1.
Just wanted to say guys that I am now back at work, all my tips will still be researched but forgive me if the write ups arent as detailed as I simply will not have the time to write 1000+ word write ups, this will be weekdays only, Saturday and Sunday games will have more detail as I will have the time.
Good Luck everyone and please bet responsibly.
Tom (ASB Tips)