No tips yesterday but did do a fun bet and 7/10 predictions landed and I am aware that a couple of people had some winners from that so well done. Onto today’s tips, both revolving around goals goals goals.
1. Real Madrid and O2.5 MG @ 1.8 (BOTD) 3pts/£3
2. O2.5 Goals Double @ 2.59 2pt/£2
Real Madrid and O2.5 MG @ 1.73 (BOTD)
RM are 2nd in La Liga and will be looking to respond well after their recent last gasp defeat to Barcelona after a fantastic counter attack saw Lionel Messi finish off a deadly attack. They need to win the 3 points here to keep the pressure on Barcelona, especially after AM let down their guard last night losing to Villareal. Barcelona are also playing bottom club Osasuna, so should get the 3 pts there. RM have played 15 away matches and have a record of 11-2-2. They have scored a massive 42 in 15 at an average of 2.8 and only conceded 18. For a form aspect, in their last 5 away from home, they have won all 5, scoring 16 at an average of over 3 a game and conceded 8. However, an interesting stat is that they have conceded in all 5 of their last away games so dont be surprised if they concede here. They have scored in every single away game and have kept a clean sheet just 20% of the time, so this backs up the BTTS stat. For O2.5 MG away from home, RM have the best record for this bet, landing 13/15 times at 87%, also landing all 5 of their last away matches. They have also settled the O2.5 bet away from home in 4/5 of those away matches, showing they are in fine form.
Deportivo are 16th in the league. At home they have played 16 and their record is 6-5-5, which is one of the worst home records in the league. They have scored 21 and conceded 15. They have only had O2.5 MG land 6/16 home games but this is not something I am worried about because of RM attacking threat. In their last 7 games at home they have conceded in 5 and conceded a total of 10.
I fully expect RM to win this game as they are the much better team and simply need to win this game in order to stay on Barca’s tail. I do expect RM to concede, especially as they are without Ramos due to his red card in the Clasico. I wouldnt be surprised if this bet was very close to landing within the first half. Also in H2H, this bet has landed 3/5 times. My SP is Real Madrid to win 3-1.
O2.5 MG Double @ 2.59
Munich vs Dortmund:
Overall: Munich 17/30 O2.5 and at home 11/15
Match Average: 3
Overall: Dortmund 19/30 and away 11/16
Match Average: 3.3
Valencia vs Sociedad
Overall: Valencia 22/33 O2.5 and at home 10/16
Match Average: 3.1
Overall: Sociedad 16/33 O2.5 and away 8/16
Match Average: 2.8
That is all for today, please back responsibly.
Tom (ASB Tips)