Disappointing day Saturday, the double was let down by Hoffenheim as they failed to score 2 goals, the other part of the double came in with ease. Onto today’s tips.
1. Young Boys vs Basel O2.5/BTTS @ 1.62 (BOTD) 3pts
Young Boys have had a staggering 15 of their 16 home games over 2.5 match goals and have also had BTTS land in 13 of 16. They have only failed to score 6% of the time at home but have only kept a clean sheet 12% of the time at home also. Young Boys also have a staggering home match goal average of 4.4. Basel have had 12 of their 16 away games over 2.5 MG and also had BTTS in 10/16 away matches, they also boast a 3.3 away match goal average. Basel have scored in every away game and failed to keep a clean sheet 68% of the time. Plus, Basel have been really ropey recently with BTTS happening in their overall last 5. H2H has seen this bet win on the last four occasions, scorelines of 3-1, 2-3, 4-3 and 4-2. Also, this game is second vs 1st so goals should be expected both ends here.
2. Braunschweig O1.5 TG and Naestved vs Hobro O2.5 MG 1.5pts
Braunschweig vs Karlsruler
1. Braunscheweig HR 12-3-1. 2nd best home record in the league.
2. 10/16 O1.5 TG at home, 4 in last 5- 3-1, 2-0, 1-0, 6-0 and 3-2.
3. Average 2.06 goals scored at home (33 in 16)
4. Opponents bottom of the league, conceded at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5.
Naestved vs Hobro
1. Naestved 8/15 O2.5 MG at home,
2. Naestved Home MGA is 2.9
3. Nestved 3 of last 5 O2.5
3. Hobro 12/15 O2.5 MG away.
4. Hobro Away MGA is 3.3
5. Hobro last 4/5 games O2.5
6. H2H 2/3 O2.5MG
STAT: With 2 games left in the league, Hobro can win the league and Naestved could be relegated, this should push both teams to score and should show goals in this match.
3. Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit- Zenit win @ 2.1 2pts
This is a massive game for Zenit, who need the win to give them a chance of getting guaranteed champions league play offs spot. Away from home they have won 6 of their 14 games, drawing 4 and losing 4, which isnt anything special but it does leave them with the 4th best away record in the league, plus have won 4 of their last 5 away matches and 5 of their last 6 overall so they have hit a vital purple patch going into the business end of the season. Zenit have kept a clean sheet 57% of the team, which shows they are tight and with the circumstances will need to everything to not concede. Their opponents Lokomotiv Moscow have nothing to play for as they sit mid table and cannot get relegated or into the european spots. They also do not have a good home record, gaining just 19 points from 14 games which is the 4th worst home record in the league. They also struggle vs the top 6, winning just 1 game, losing 2 and drawing 2. H2H Zenit have won on 3 of their last 5 visits to Lokomotiv Moscow, so the history is a good reason to back this. I do expect this to be a low scoring affair and quite a nervy one, the stats are not fantastic but Zenit really should get the win on pure motivation to push for the 2nd spot in the league.
Tom (ASB Tips).