An average day yesterday, 1/2 tips winning, the overs came in easy but the BTTS failed with Goteborg thrashing Sundsvall 4-0, if I had to pick a team to let that bet down it would have been Goteborg but oh well! We move on:
Dundalk Win/O1.5MG vs Derry City @ 1.83 (PaddyPower) 2pts
Dundalk have had a good start to the season sitting 2nd in the league. At home they have had played 7, winning 6 and losing just the 1. They have scored 16 goals at home this year averaging 2.29 and conceded only 5. They haven’t failed to score at home this year and have the second best home record in the league. Also they are doing well form wise, with 3 recent wins conceding no goals 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0. Also, they have had 86% of their home games go over the 1.5 goals mark, which is of course good for this bet.. Opponents Derry are 4th in the league but are average away, playing 6, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 1. However, these results are mostly against teams below them in the league, they are yet to play the likes of Bray and of course Dundalk. They have scored only 7 and conceded 6, so they are a team of few goals, also they have had 67% of away games over 1.5. H2H Dundalk have won 5/7 meetings at home and 4/5 of their wins have gone over 1.5 and the last 9/10 games between the sides have gone over the 1.5 mark. With Dundalk’s impressive home form I expect them to grab the win against an average away Derry side.
Tom (ASB Tips)