Irish double was let down by Bray who chucked away a lead twice in the game against the worst away side in the league, hindsight should have backed Team goals but we move on, Cork leg sailed in with them putting 4 past Shamrock. Today’s tip:
1. O2.5 MG Double @ 2.15 2.5pts
Dalkurd vs Avidabergs
Dalkurd have had 3 of their 5 home games O2.5 match goals, with all 3 being the most recent, scorelines of 3-1, 3-0 and 3-0, these were all wins showing they are on good form for scoring goals. Opponents Avidabergs have had all 5 of their away games O2.5 with scorelines of 1-2, 3-0, 0-3, 2-1 and 4-0, this showing that they are scoring goals but also leaking them. The last meeting between the two sides saw a Dalkurd 5-0 victory, and with the stats I expect to see a goal fest.
Schaffhausen vs Zurich
Shcaffhausen have a fantastic record for this bet with 15 of their 17 home games going O2.5 including an 11 game streak. They have scored 33 and conceded 26, with a match goal average of 3.5, this shows they both leak and score goals as they have failed to score at home just once but also kept a clean sheet just 24% of the time. Opponents Zurich are also known for goals, they have the second best away record in the league for this bet with 11/17 games going O2.5, including 4 of the last 5. Zurich can also be relied on for goals as they have scored in every away game this season. H2H history also backs this bet with 4 of their last 5 meetings going O2.5.
2. Mixed Double @ 2.49 1.5pts
Juventus WIN vs Bologna:
Juventus are the best team in the league and even if they do rest players here I still fully expect them to get the win vs an average Bologna side. Juve have won 10/18 away games, drawing 3 and losing 5. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 17. Impressively they have scored in 17/18 away games and kept a clean sheet 44% of the time away from home. Bologna have won 8/18 home games, drawing 2 and losing 8. They have kept a clean sheet 28% of the time at home but have been poor recently losing 5 of their last 8 games. I expect Juve to be far too strong for them, I think a low scoring game seeing as Juve are tight at the back but dont score many either. My SP is Juve 2-0.
Nykobing vs Fremad Amager BTTS:
Home side Nykobing are 7th in the league, they have played 15 home games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5. In these games, they have scored 30 at an average of 2 per home game scored and have conceded 26. A stat that really stands out for Nykobing is that they have not failed to score at home this season, and have only kept a clean sheet in 13% of these home games (2/15). So as they have not failed to score in their 14 games, and have only kept a clean sheet in 2 of the 14, you probably worked out that they have had 13/15 home games BTTS, a staggering stat, I really like this because it shows they can score and concede regularly. Form wise, BTTS has landed in Nykobing’s last 5 home games, scorelines of 3-2, 3-1, 2-2, 1-3 and 1-2. These recent scorelines show Nykobing score goals, scoring 2 or more on 3 occasions, while also conceding regularly, conceding 2 or more goals on 4 occasions.
Fremad Amager have had 8 of their 16 away games BTTS, however they have had 3 of their last 5 away games BTTS so that shows a bit of form to back this bet, they have only won 2 games away from home this year and have scored 12 and conceded 24. They have only kept a clean sheet 25% of the time. H2H 3 of the last 5 meetings have had BTTS. With Nykobing being a strong home side I expect them to win this, but to also concede, they do not keep a clean sheet very often. SP Nykobing 2-1.
Tom (ASB Tips)